Many Russians have become accustomed to starting every day with the study of COVID-19 incidence statistics. While the figures are disappointing: there is a steady increase in the number of infected. When will the recession of the incidence of coronavirus in Russia begins?
The Deputy Director for the scientific work of the Central Epidemiology of Rospotrebnadzor Alexander Gorelov shared his forecast. "Usually, from the beginning of the raising of morbidity, we expect the maximum growth for 28 days - these are two incubation periods, so the first decade of November should arrange everything in its place," said the tas journalist burners.
It was then, according to a specialist, we can talk about stabilization of the process. However, this is not equal to a decrease. For the reason that it is necessary for some time when the epidecess will be stable, but the virus will still spread.
And only then the phase of a sustainable decline will come. This is what we all in Russia could observe in May of this year. This time, the incidence of coronavirus infection may begin to decrease in February-March 2021.
Also, the burners urged everything not to be afraid of statistics, which we are issued daily in non-stop mode almost all the media. "Back in late August-early September, I predicted that there would be an increase in 17-18 thousand sick, because it is due to the same: so that the lack of a lot of population met with this virus - less than 1%, - explained specialist. "Therefore, imagine that the epidprotes will end with such numbers, it is impossible."
In the near future, there are no vaccies from COVID-19 and not formed collective immunity in the population, it is impossible to stop the spread of coronavirus. So at the moment it remains to adhere to the recommendations of WHO: wearing masks and gloves, abide by the distance and wash your hands.